{"id":17879,"date":"2025-09-21T12:32:40","date_gmt":"2025-09-21T12:32:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/?p=17879"},"modified":"2025-09-21T12:32:40","modified_gmt":"2025-09-21T12:32:40","slug":"zambias-debt-restructuring-remains-snagged-on-afreximbank-problems","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/17879\/zambias-debt-restructuring-remains-snagged-on-afreximbank-problems\/","title":{"rendered":"Zambia&#8217;s debt restructuring remains snagged on Afreximbank problems"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Zambia&#8217;s debt restructuring remains snagged on its thorny negotiations with the African Export-Import Bank and won&#8217;t be resolved until next year, one of its top finance officials has told Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>Zambia, one of the world&#8217;s top copper producers but also one of its most indebted, struck a write-down deal with its main private sector creditors last June after a 3-1\/2-year slog.<\/p>\n<p>But an\u00a0unresolved issue over whether Afreximbank and the Trade and Development Bank should also take a hit or be spared from writedowns &#8211; like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank &#8211; has prevented Lusaka from completing the process and exiting default.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Unfortunately, we are a guinea pig,&#8221; Zambia&#8217;s Secretary to the Treasury Felix Nkulukusa said in an interview in London late on Thursday. &#8220;Everything is being tested on us.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>AFREXIM FEARS CUT IN CREDIT RATING<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While more intensive negotiations started with TDB two months&#8217; ago, Nkulukusa said there has been little progress with Afrexim, which fears its credit rating will be slashed if it is no longer regarded as having so-called &#8216;preferred creditor status&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>Government-backed development banks typically benefit from it to give them a layer of protection and enable them to lend at cheaper interest rates and for projects that commercial banks might see as too risky and shy away from.<\/p>\n<p>Afrexim and TDB account for just under 8% of the debt Zambia has earmarked for restructuring, but given what is at stake, it is proving a difficult impasse to overcome.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We still are stuck,&#8221; Nkulukusa said. &#8220;Afrexim and TDB, that is what remains (to be resolved) and probably that will take us into 2026,&#8221; he said, adding that he was &#8220;very positive that everything will get sorted out next year&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>That is likely to coincide with a ramp-up towards a presidential election scheduled for August, where Hakainde Hichilema&#8217;s government currently stands a good chance of winning.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ZAMBIA WANTS IMF BAILOUT EXTENDED<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It is also in talks with the International Monetary Fund about a one-year\u00a0extension\u00a0of its current $1.3 billion bailout programme that runs until January. That would get it past the election and allow whoever wins to agree a new, longer-term IMF deal.<\/p>\n<p>Nkulukusa said Zambia&#8217;s economy was now improving after its default and a severe drought over the last couple of years.<\/p>\n<p>Its gross domestic product is expected to grow by 5.8% this year and 6.4% in 2026. Revenues from the mining sector have helped stabilise the exchange rate, while inflation is projected to slow to about 7% by early next year from almost 13% now.<\/p>\n<p>Resolving the deadlock over restructuring is now key to getting investment flowing back into the country and funding plans for major road and rail improvements.<\/p>\n<p>Given the importance of Afrexim and TDB for the region, Nkulukusa said it might ultimately require a pan-African or international fix to support them.<\/p>\n<p>Another option could be to go back to a previously floated idea where the banks do what the World Bank and others typically do in restructurings, and provide additional concessional loans to Zambia.<\/p>\n<p>Lessons will be learned from what is happening now, said Nkulukusa, and given Afrexim and TDB&#8217;s importance for the region it might ultimately require a pan-African or international fix to support them.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There will be some efficient and effective way that will be able to protect these institutions while contributing towards the restructuring for those countries that will have challenges.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zambia&#8217;s debt restructuring remains snagged on its thorny negotiations with the African Export-Import Bank and won&#8217;t be resolved until next year, one of its top finance officials has told Reuters. Zambia, one of the world&#8217;s top copper producers but also one of its most indebted, struck a write-down deal with its main private sector creditors [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","source_name":"Reuters","subtitle":""},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[32,30],"tags":[2853,394],"class_list":["post-17879","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-southern-africa","tag-afreximbank","tag-zambia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17879","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17879"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17879\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17879"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17879"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qiraatafrican.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17879"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}